Its a shame that bp and other governmental agencies didnt have worstcase scenario plans. Cost of worstcase tanker spill outweighs rewards of. The worst case scenario for the broken and leaking well gushing oil into the gulf of mexico would be the loss of the wellhead currently restricting the flow to 5,000 barrels or 210,000 gallons. Modelling the longterm evolution of worstcase arctic oil. Economic damages from a worstcase oil spill in the. Jun 16, 2010 1010101010111091010101001010101010010101001010101001010111 oil containment domechamber to cap gulf oil spill economic collapse crisis depression 2010 bull bear. Already, deepwater horizon is the not only the worst oil spill, but the worst. In the memo, bp says that in a worstcase scenario, the leak could gush 100,000 barrels a day if the blowout preventer, the wellhead and other equipment were. Nearly 10 years after the bp deepwater horizon oil catastrophe began in the gulf of mexico, a leading ocean conservation group warned tuesday that the threat of another similar disaster looms large and that the fossil fuel industry and u. Jul 19, 2018 a worst case scenario spill from the enbridge energy line 5 pipeline through the straits of mackinac would affect more than 400 miles of shoreline in michigan, wisconsin and canada, according to a. What makes this spill relentless and most similar to ixtoc 1 is that its an. Due to the large size of this spill, the response actions for the maximum most probable and the worst case scenarios will not differ. Official estimates for the flow of oil out of the deepwater horizon well may be just a drop in the bucket. What is the best book to read about the deepwater horizon.
The reader gives an outline of the worst case scenario for the oil spill, and why he thinks that worst case is upon us. Home browse science and technology environmental and earth sciences oil pollution. The book points out that insitu burning is just one method of dealing with an. The maximum most probable case is determined by the largest recorded oil spill to date in prince william sound. This would impart skill and cultivate mental preparedness to the worstcase scenario. Somewhere, you might want to bring in the lusi mudflow in indonesia. For the economies of coastal states, a worstcase leakage scenario would be utterly devastating.
It is the worst accidental offshore oil spill in history. As oil continues to flow from the top of the deepwater horizon rig in the gulf of mexico, concerns are brewing over potential leaks at the. Roma gans is an expert in early childhood education, professor emeritus of teachers college, columbia university, and cofounder and editor of the letsreadandfindout. Did you know that an oil spill occurs somewhere in the world almost every day of the year. Oil spill environmental forensics case studies sciencedirect. Buras, louisiana bp plc estimates that a worst case scenario rate for the gulf of mexico oil spill could be about 100,000 barrels of oil per day, according to an internal company document released sunday by a senior u. People are cancelling fishing vacations in western louisiana where there is zero threat of oil crossing the mississippi river current.
Aug 04, 2010 here is a timeline on the gulf of mexico oil spill and its impact since an explosion on a rig killed 11 workers. The tragic explosion of the bp oil drilling rig deepwater horizon could turn into an environmental disaster much bigger than anyone anticipated. A massive spill from a well that cant be plugged for months is truly troubling, but theres a worse scenario. Berger and mirocha focus on one of the worst spills in historythe 1989 exxon valdez oil tanker spillto explain in simple terms and with bold, full color illustrations why oils spills happen, how experts clean up after them, and what effect spilled oil has on ocean plants and. The lat reports that bp officials told congress yesterday that the gulf of mexico oil spill could grow at a rate more than 10 times current estimates in a worst case scenario greatly enlarging. Jun 21, 2010 in the memo, bp says that in a worst case scenario, the leak could gush 100,000 barrels a day if the blowout preventer, the wellhead and other equipment were removed from the sea floor, which was.
Oil spills can have many different causes, but the result is the same. In the worstcase scenario we analyze, the oil spill spreads primarily westward along the northern lower peninsula shore of lake michigan and across wisconsin. Over at the oil drum, a forwardlooking blog discussing energy issues, a comment from a reader with copious reference materials has. Line 5 researchers present worst case scenario oil spill data to public their research will inform the states decision about the future of the line 5 pipeline. Offshore drilling has dug itself a deeper hole since. Discover librarianselected research resources on oil pollution from the questia online library, including fulltext online books, academic journals, magazines, newspapers and more. Authors representing academic, government, and private researcher groups from 14 countries bring a diverse and global perspective to this volume. Bp estimates oil spill up to 100,000 barrels per day in. Scientists worry about oil plumes effects on coral reefs. In the worstcase scenario, this could also last months, said richard haut, a. This new leak is already 12 times the size of the previous spill, so cleanup will likely end up taking a very significant period of time. This might also open the floodgates for increased claims from. The gulf of mexico oil spill, five times worse than originally thought, could easily surpass the exxon valdez disaster in both volume.
Worst case and the deepwater horizon blowout rutgers marine. Heres the absolute best explanation of how and why it happened. Morgans bp analyst is one of the few to venture a guess as to how much oil total will be leaked into the gulf. He is also the author of six books on breezy topics such as risk. Bps pr blunders mirror exxons, appear destined for record book. Worstcase scenario oil spill trajectories are assessed in the arctic ocean basin. Whats the worstcase scenario for bps oil spill trial. Burt munro challenge have announced the honda invercargill street races are canceled for the rest of the due to a oil spill.
In this spill, the worstcase scenario is christmas time. The lat reports that bp officials told congress yesterday that the gulf of mexico oil spill could grow at a rate more than 10 times current estimates in a worstcase scenario greatly enlarging. May 05, 2010 60,000 barrels a day worstcase scenario for gulf spill, bp tells congress. Government covers up bp oil spill worst case scenario. Yet, 10 years after the bp spill, oil companies are pushing to extract fossil fuels at riskier depths. Bp plc estimates that a worst case scenario rate for the gulf of mexico oil spill could be about 100,000 barrels of oil per day, according to an internal company document released sunday by a.
This means youre free to copy and share these comics but not to sell them. Government covers up bp oil spill worst case scenario the young turks. Cost of worstcase tanker spill outweighs rewards of northern. How about the horrifying possibility of leaks in the pipe below the sea floorleaks that could open up a gusher. Future oil spills may not look like deepwater horizon, macdonald said in a recent call with reporters. If a mudflow were to destroy one without warning, we could get a discharge of oil that could continue for years. There are new worst case scenarios that the industry still isnt prepared for. The financial costs of a worstcase scenario tanker spill off the north coast of british columbia could outweigh the economic rewards of the proposed northern gateway pipeline for the region, says a study by the ubc fisheries centre. With that out of the way, here is my analysis of the worst case scenario for bp and the gulf of mexico. In a truly worst case, oil and perhaps dissolved methane as well would hitch a ride on ocean currents out to the deep atlantic, spreading ecological destruction far and wide. Scientists are learning the best ways to combat oil spills.
List of books and articles about oil pollution online. Honda invercargill street races cancelled due to oil spill. Dont oil companies model worstcase scenarios and make plans for how to handle them. The worst case scenario is that an early winter could come to the northern range of the mississippi and. Apr 15, 2020 nearly 10 years after the bp deepwater horizon oil catastrophe began in the gulf of mexico, a leading ocean conservation group warned tuesday that the threat of another similar disaster looms large and that the fossil fuel industry and u. But he cautioned that a worstcase scenario existed in which hydrates disrupt the effort and more oil is released from the severed riser. I would submit that the worst case scenario for a future oil spill is not loss of exploration well drilling, but the catastrophic destruction of a production platform in deep water, mcdonald said. Buras, louisiana bp plc estimates that a worstcase scenario rate for the gulf of mexico oil spill could be about 100,000 barrels of oil per day, according to an internal company document released sunday by a senior u.
Jun 20, 2010 buras, louisiana bp plc estimates that a worstcase scenario rate for the gulf of mexico oil spill could be about 100,000 barrels of oil per day, according to an internal company document released sunday by a senior u. That does not mean that the media should hyperventilate about the worst case scenarios to the public. Deepwater horizon oil spill to be set on fire to save us coast. Ensemble results from 31 yearlong simulations are reported. Oct 06, 2010 government covers up bp oil spill worst case scenario the young turks. Indeed, deepwater horizon is not the worst case scenario. This work is licensed under a creative commons attributionnoncommercial 2. Page on its free to the public for download, but you can buy a copy if you want. Government covers up bp oil spill worst case scenario youtube. The twoway if it winds up taking months, the better part of a year or longer for experts to finally stop the flow of oil into the gulf of mexico from. Oil serves as a source of energy gasoline and diesel which is used by cars and all types of vehicles. Achenblog more worstcase scenarios in gulf oil spill. The resulting 168 million gallons of oil that spewed into the water for 87 days killed thousands of birds, turtles, dolphins, fish and other animals. Those with deepseated fears about killer bees, quicksand, mountain lions and sharks will enjoy the worst case scenario survival handbook by joshua piven and david borgenicht, a handy little book for the extremely prepared that is climbing the bestseller list.
A worstcase scenario spill from the enbridge energy line 5 pipeline through the straits of mackinac would affect more than 400 miles of shoreline in. Deepwater horizon oil spill to be set on fire to save us. The agency is already putting together battle plans for a worstcase scenario. He then analyzed the oil spills impact on the state economy in terms of sensitivity. Jun 02, 2010 scientists believe that the plumes are not pure oil, but most likely a haze of oil droplets, natural gas and the dispersant chemical corexit, 210,000 gallons of which has been mixed into the jet. Cmon, how big is the gulf of mexico oil spill, really. However, the damages from a spill will vary across space. The worstcase scenario is that theres oil coating some of the corals, dr. Plumes of partly dissolved oil threaten a large deepwater coral reef in the gulf discovered just last year. Inadequate risk assessments a study on worstcase scenarios. The worstcase scenario survival handbook worst case. The bp oil spill also known as gulf of mexico oil spill, deepwater horizon oil spill, bp disaster or the macondo blowout refer to the most dangerous oil spill ever to happen in the gulf of mexico or in history of oil spills.
A massive oil spill blankets the sea, threatening birds, fish and the local. Jun 15, 2010 of course, my numbers are really just guesses, like everyone elses. As i was writing this piece, the official frtg estimate jumped from 20,00040,000 to. My geology professor from way back sent me his worstcase scenario for the gulf disaster. Its a shame that bp and other governmental agencies didnt have worst case scenario plans. This is a nononsense, nofooling around guide with straightforward information. It seems weve found a new worstcase scenario, says sharon astyk at scienceblogs writing about the oil disaster in the gulf of mexico. Oil spill environmental forensics case studies includes 34 chapters that serve to present various aspects of environmental forensics in relation to realworld oil spill case studies from around the globe.
Ten years after the deepwater horizon oil spill, were on. Oil at the ocean surface is tracked using the mitgcm, oil in ice is tracked offline. Jun 01, 2010 officials said they had resolved problems that hindered a previous attempt to use a dome to funnel oil to a tanker. Whats the worst case scenario for the bp oil spill.
In addition to the oil itself, bp has in this case deliberately spilled a million gallons of toxic corexit dispersant. Few of the books that have been written about the bp oil leak that began. In significant ice coverage, sea ice transports oil further than ocean currents. Suppose this tanker is ruptured by hitting an iceberg in the quiet. Melvin berger is the author of many classic lrfos, including germs make me sick.
The company that owns a pipeline that spewed oil into california coastal waters says that under the worstcase scenario, up to 105,000 gallons of crude leaked in the spill. May 04, 2010 the government needs to be aware of the worst case scenarios in order to manage and mitagate to prevent them. The gulf oil disaster and the future of offshore drilling. Whats the worst case scenario for bps oil spill trial. May 02, 2010 one gulf oil spill went for nearly a year.
I enjoy non fiction books like this and this did not disappoint. This simulated spill features the greatest shoreline distance oiled over 700 km of all spring spill scenarios. For the economies of coastal states, a worstcase leakage scenario would be utterly. Jun 17, 2010 it seems weve found a new worst case scenario, says sharon astyk at scienceblogs writing about the oil disaster in the gulf of mexico. Its been 10 years since flames engulfed the deepwater horizon drilling rig in the gulf of mexico, killing 11 workers and triggering the largest accidental oil spill in u. Oil harms plants and wildlife that make the oceans and coastlines their home. In the worstcase scenario, this could also last months, said richard haut, a senior research scientist at the houston advanced. I ordered this book for my kindle after having seen it around for years. Get the numbers, see the images and learn how the worst u. Accidents in shipping out the black gold the worst case scenario exxon valdez was only a partial spill the alaska pipeline terminates at valdez on prince william sound, where the oil is loaded onto tankers. New orleans trying to close the books on the worst offshore oil spill in u. I would submit that the worst case scenario for a future oil spill is not loss of exploration well drilling, but the catastrophic destruction of a production platform in deep water, mcdonald. The current spill is kind of a worst case scenario, tunnell said. Critics call for release of worst case scenario data to describe the oil spill disaster.
May 01, 2010 official estimates for the flow of oil out of the deepwater horizon well may be just a drop in the bucket. Achenbach says he duly reported worstcase scenarios, but his. Bp never had a plan in place for the worstcase scenario or they. The most recent oil spill from the keystone pipeline happened back in april of 2016, leaking 16,800 gallons of oil that took two entire months to clean up. The worstcase scenario for the broken and leaking well gushing oil into the gulf of mexico would be the loss of the wellhead currently restricting the flow to 5,000 barrels or 210,000 gallons. Never mind the slick thats already reaching fragile marshes and estuaries that may soon be smothered in oil. The financial costs of a worst case scenario tanker spill off the north coast of british columbia could outweigh the economic rewards of the proposed northern gateway pipeline for the region, says a study by the ubc fisheries centre. Disaster contingency plans are fantasy documents when it comes to.
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